Weekly market view.             May 09, 2004

 
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May 08, 2004

Markets in pre poll jitters. Sensex gains 14 points.

Poor volumes, positive breadth as old economy stocks rally.

Weekly statistics

Indices Open High Low Close Change
BSE - 30 5645 5772 5506 5669 14.49
BSE - 200 753 773 730 760 06.20
NSE - 50 1796 1837 1742 1804 08.35
Dow  Jones 10117 109 Nasdaq 1918 2 FTSE

4498 9

Advances 7120 Declines 5631 Put / Call trades - 34725 : 105183
FII Investments Rs  82 Crs May 1 - 6 Domestic Funds Rs  44 Crs May 1 - 6

The BSE & NSE combined weekly value of  shares advancing was Rs. 19608 crores and the value of shares declining was Rs. 12485  crores. This indicates a broader buying bias. The total weekly traded volume on the BSE was Rs. 10487 Crores. The total traded volume on the NSE  was Rs. 21879 Crores.

The week that was

The markets saw an optimistic mood in the initial part of the week as the fears of the exit polls subsided. The last day of the week however saw sharp selling pressure as the bulls played safe and locked in gains at higher levels. The traded volumes were lower and the market breadth was positive in numerical and capitalisation terms. The action was polarised around the cement, banking, automobile and select index heavy-weights. The Sensex was boosted by ACC, Bajaj Auto, BSES, Dr Reddy, Guj Amb Cem, HDFC, Hero Honda, Hind Lever, HPCL, Infosys, L&T, MTNL, ONGC, Reliance, SBI, Telco, Tata Power, Wipro and Zee Telefilms . The Sensex  was dragged down by Bharati Tele, BHEL, Cipla, Grasim, Hindalco, ICICI Bank, ITC, Ranbaxy and Tisco . The rupee ended the week at 44.66 levels ( 00.17 ) against  the US $.

Top I Derivatives guide I Likely triggers I Technicals I Reco's I

Likely triggers

The markets are likely to be completely governed by the elections and the final announcements of the numbers. Till then the undertone is likely to be tentative and news driven. The FII investment figures are marginally negative and will ensure that the upsides will be limited. The traded volumes were expectedly lower this week as compared to the previous week. Of the entire traded volumes in the week, 41 % were transacted on negative breadth days. The major market movers will be the PSU disinvestment candidates which will see focussed activity. The cement, banking and infrastructure sector stocks will be the next driving forces. The F&O segment also shows lower transacted volumes, though the outstanding open interest has improved substantially. The market breadth has remained positive and the outlook is cautiously optimistic in the coming week.

The overseas markets have been flat and are unlikely to exert significant influence on the domestic sentiments in the coming week. Overall, we expect the markets to be news driven and cautiously optimistic.

Top I Derivatives guide I Likely triggers I Technicals I Reco's I

Technicals

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Top I Derivatives guide I Likely triggers I Technicals I Reco's I

Your call of action

For stock specific recommendations, please refer to our special edition - "Flavours of the week. Click here to view the previous editions of the "Flavours of the week."

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Have a profitable day.
 
Vijay L Bhambwani
Ceo :- Bsplindia.com

The author is a Mumbai  based investment consultant and invites feedback at Vijay@BSPLindia.com and  ( 022 ) 23438482 / 23400345.

SEBI disclosure -  The author has no positions in  the stocks mentioned above.


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